Tag Archives: fantasy football

Fergie’s Fantasy: Predicting the Unpredictable

Our Ferg has a less-hardy constitution than the Ol' Gaffer here...

At The Rails would like to welcome fantasy football columnist Scott Ferguson back to the fold after a prolonged hiatus.  Pneumonia? Really, Ferg?!? Pfffffttttt…

In what has been an unpredictable season in the English Premier League,  one has to open one’s mind to new ideas.

For example, can you really fathom that Newcastle’s Andrew Carroll is the highest- scoring striker in the league in terms of fantasy points? Or that Chelsea defenders, who one carried a justifiable high price… now haven’t kept a clean sheet in five weeks? Or that high priced talent like Didier Drogba and Wayne Rooney would both miss penalty kicks on the same weekend?

When you can’t rely on the reliable, it’s time to think out of the box and then pray it will all work out. Here’s four players to consider who may not normally be on your radar…

For Your Consideration

Yaya shakes up fantasy pools...

Yaya Toure – He’s always been a consistently solid player,  but now Yaya is showing his offensive side with two goals and two assists in his last four games. As a midfielder he also picks up a bonus point for every Manchester City clean sheet… of which there are many. His low price makes him worth a look even if he’s more slow and steady than exciting and explosive.

Ji-Sung Park – Yes that goal that beat Arsenal was skill and not luck. Okay maybe a bit of both. Okay… maybe it was lucky. But everyone’s favourite South Korean player is really standing out for Manchester United this season. He’s started every Premier League game since Oct. 30th, so he’s becoming a safer purchase despite his low price. Since becoming a regular starter seven games ago, he has four goals, an assist… and United had five clean sheets… in case you have any doubts.

Nedum Onuoha – Sunderland are defending better than usual, racking up two clean sheets in their last two games. Not only did defender Onuoha pick up the clean sheet points and the playing time points, he also received two bonus points in each game. He’s becoming a key part of their back four though he’s only owned by 7% of fantasy managers. I guess the question is whether any of us think Sunderland can keep this up!

Joe Hart – Okay so he probably is on your radar. But only 30% of fantasy managers have picked him up… likely because he’s pricey. But in my opinion, he’s worth it. No one else is keeping clean sheets like Manchester City so pay the money and just start him every week.

Proceed with Caution
There are a few key questions that need answering. For example, with the Tevez transfer controversy, will his head be in the game or thinking about the future? Also, what about Florent Malouda? He was on fire to begin the season but has turned very cold. Does the return of Frank Lampard to the Chelsea lineup mean less time on the ball for Malouda? Or less time on the pitch even? He has a high price so it could be time to sell.

Talk to you next week, and even though it’s getting cold out there, in the paraphrased words of my presumed distant relative Sir Alex, don’t be caught in public wearing a snood. 

Scott Ferguson

 (Ed. Note: Look for several United players to suddenly develop pneumonia…)

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Fergie’s Fantasy: So You Got That Promotion…

Newcastle's Steven Taylor will likely play every week

In your regular life outside of fantasy football, you probably find those who have been recently promoted rather annoying and smug.   But in the fantasy world, you need to make friends with them and bring them on to your side.

On paper, the three newly-promoted squads may look like the Premier League equivalent of the kids who always got picked last on the playground pitch. But in reality, even if the teams are getting beat up on a weekly basis in real life, Newcastle, West Bromwich Albion, and Blackpool all have players that are affordable — that will play every week — and that will even chip in points on occasion.

You want the grinders that will earn points on the cheap so you can afford the big stars. What you are looking for is someone who will give you the performances we saw last year from Wolves defender Jody Craddock — Birmingham’s Lee Bowyer — or Joe Hart, who shone in goal for Birmingham while on loan from Manchester City.

Anybody can pick Steven Gerrard or Wayne Rooney.  But it takes skill and guts to pick up and start the right players from the newly promoted
squads. Here are some players worth considering…

Goalkeepers:
This is a risky proposition…  but it should be noted that after only two weeks, all three keepers from the promoted sides have one clean sheet. Sure, two of the three also let in six goals in their other game (eep!)…  but let’s focus on the clean sheets.

Newcastle’s Steven Harper is a quality premier league goalie and with his team likely poised to avoid relegation, he is the pick of this group.

Scott Carson: Man of Constant Sorrow? Or Points?

That said, I also like West Brom’s Scott Carson.  He has Premier League experience, comes at a very low price, and is guaranteed to face a lot of shots. He may not get many clean sheets, but in most games, he will get you a bonus point for making three saves.  And he’s already played his road game against Chelsea so you don’t have to worry about that fixture.

I would avoid Blackpool’s Matthew Gilks.  I just don’t trust that Blackpool are going to have the kind of success their drubbing of Wigan in Week One would suggest.

Defenders:
Again, assuming Newcastle have a strong season, you can count on Fabricio
Coloccini being a constant presence along their back four.  You can’t miss him, he’s the one with the huge mane of curly hair.

Jonas Olsson had a pair of goals and lots of playing time during West Brom’s last season in the Premier League two years ago.

Catchart traded Devil Red for Tangerine

And if you want to take a chance on a real cheap player, there is the rock bottom price for Craig Cathcart of Blackpool.  I do think Blackpool will concede the most goals in the league this year, but Cathcart spent years training with Manchester United.  Though he played very little with the Red Devils, he has played every minute of this young season with Blackpool.

Midfielders:
I have sung his praises in previous columns — and it has yet to pay off — but Chris Brunt of West Brom is a pleasure to watch.  He signalled his intentions last weekend with a long range strike that was only kept from the highlight reel by the woodwork.  He’s the most expensive player you can buy from West Brom — but still very cheap when compared to quality midfielders on other teams.

Barton: Solid tash, solid points earner

With two goals last week, Kevin Nolan is off to a strong start for Newcastle. The Magpies boast a solid midfield that also includes Joey Barton and Jonas Gutierrez.  Barton scored a highlight reel goal last weekend, and there’s every reason to think we could see more of the same from him.  Jonas is more of a grinder but does get a ton of playing time.

Strikers:
I don’t really trust any of West Brom’s strikers to score a lot of fantasy points and I still don’t know what to make of Blackpool’s Marlon Harewood.  He’s puzzling.  He’s kicked around on a few different teams in the Premier and Championship leagues over the past few seasons, but his two goals in Week One showed he could prove himself as a player who belongs in the top flight.  At this point he is still a bit of a risk… but at least he’s a cheap one.

The cream of this crop is Newcastle’s Andrew Carroll.  I feel a bit stupid on this one, because I gave strong consideration to putting him on my team based on his strong numbers in the Championship last season. But I didn’t do it, fearing what I’ve seen from other strikers who have flopped in the Premier League after good Championship seasons (Sylvan Ebanks-Blake for example).  Nothing like a hat trick to boost your confidence though, and with his performance last week I think Carroll will continue to have a fine campaign.

And not to gloat but…

I selected five players for you to consider last week and four had huge weeks. Didier Drogba, Florent Malouda, Gareth Bale, and Joe Hart all
put up big numbers.  Only Marlon Harewood was a bust.

This week with Chelsea at home to Stoke City, you still can’t go wrong with Malouda or Drogba.  Fulham’s David Stockdale may be a fine bargain — he is on the road in net against Blackpool. The only risk with him is whether Mark Schwarzer returns to his starting role, but rumours persist that he will be transferred to Arsenal.

Speaking of the Gooners, Theo Walcott is looking good after his hat trick last week.  His price is rising and now may be the time to pick him up while it’s still reasonable.

Scott Ferguson

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