Good morning! Are you excited for the final group games? But aren’t sure who needs to win what to go on in what position? Thought so… grab your coffee/tea and read on.
FIFA World Cup tiebreakers are:
1) Goal Difference, 2) Total Goals, 3) Head-to-head, 4) Goal difference in the games between the tied teams, 5) Goals scored in the games between the tied teams.
Got it? Good. Here are today’s games.
Uruguay: 4 pts., +3 GD, 3 GS
Mexico: 4 pts., +2 GD, 3 GS
France: 1 pt., -2 GD, 0 GS
South Africa: 1, -3 GD, 1 GS
Uruguay will go through if they beat or draw Mexico. Even if Uruguay loses 1-0, France has to win by four or more goals, or South Africa by five plus, for the South Americans not to advance. If Uruguay gets blown out, the abacus has to come out.
Same for Mexico: win or draw and they are through. A small loss still gives them a chance, as either France or South Africa have to win by three and four points at least, respectively.
Expect Mexico to play for the win, in order to avoid an on-form Argentina.
Prediction: Uruguay draws Mexico. They advance 1,2. France goes home to face the music, while South Africa stay home, yet the rest of us are still forced to listen to the awful “music” of their fans.
Argentina: 6 pts., +4 GD, 5 GS
South Korea: 3 pts., -1 GD, 3 GS
Greece: 3 pts., -1 GD, 2 GS
Nigeria: 0 pts., -2 GD, 1 GS
Deep breath. OK. If Argentina win or tie Greece, Argentina wins the group. If Greece beats Argentina by three or more goals, Greece is through. If that happens, and South Korea loses, Greece wins the group. Don’t hold that breath you just took.
A South Korea win — and a Greek win of less than three goals — means the South Koreans go through. If everyone draws, Argentina is through, Nigeria is out and it comes down to how many goals are scored tomorrow between the Greeks and the Koreans.
Nigeria can advance by a win by more than a goal, and a Greek loss.
Prediction: Argentina is resting some players, but it’s still a talented squad. Argentina beats Greece to win the group, South Korea beats Nigeria to take second.
Saturday’s games: Uruguay vs. South Korea, Argentina vs. Mexico.